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The Monist

Volume 84, Issue 2, April 2001
Probability as a Guide to Life

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1. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Henry E. Kyburg, Jr. Probability as a Guide in Life
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Bishop Butler, [Butler, 1736], said that probability was the very guide of life. But what interpretations of probability can serve this function? It isn’t hard to see that empirical (frequency) views won’t do, and many recent writers-for example John Earman, who has said that Bayesianism is “the only game in town”-have been persuaded by various dutch book arguments that only subjective probability will perform the function required. We will defend the thesis that probability construed in this way offers very little guidance, dutch book arguments notwithstanding. We will sketch a way out of the impasse.
2. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Timothy McGrew Direct Inference and the Problem of Induction
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3. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Isaac Levi Objective Modality and Direct Inference
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4. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Wesley C. Salmon Explaining Things Probabilistically
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5. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Christopher Hitchcock Causal Generalizations and Good Advice
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6. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Nancy Cartwright What Is Wrong With Bayes Nets?
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7. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Gary Malinas Simpson’s Paradox: A Logically Benign, Empirically Treacherous Hydra
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8. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Clark Glymour Instrumental Probability
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9. The Monist: Volume > 84 > Issue: 2
Books Received
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